BundesligaMatchday 4
Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- BayArena, Leverkusen
- Referee:
- Robert Schroder
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost56%
over 3.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3
Other tips
- Cards: Under 4.5Lost74%
our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.8
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:2Lost7%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS73%66%O2.575%66%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Leverkusen4:1RB LeipzigW
- RB Leipzig1:3LeverkusenW
- RB Leipzig2:2LeverkusenD
- Leverkusen2:3RB LeipzigL
- RB Leipzig2:3LeverkusenW
Leverkusen's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.8over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.8under 4.5: 74%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 66% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 5
RefereeR. Schroder−0.6 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.6total 3.9Attack/defence2.0 : 1.4total 3.4
Leverkusen : RB LeipzigMost likely scores
Market1-18%2-18%2-27%1-26%2-0—1-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%2-27%1-27%2-07%1-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-12-18%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-21-26%1-27%2-02-0—2-07%1-01-0—1-06%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 73%66% | 66% |
| Our tip: Over 3.5 goals | 56%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Leverkusen win | 52%50% · Elo 50% | 50%· Elo 50% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 47%50% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 27%35% | 35% |
| 2 – RB Leipzig win | 26%28% · Elo 23% | 28%· Elo 23% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 21%23% · Elo 27% | 23%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Leverkusen attack vs RB Leipzig defenceattack1611defence1555+56 pts to the attack
RB Leipzig attack vs Leverkusen defenceattack1577defence1568+9 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- RB Leipzig matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Leverkusen score 2.4 goals per game
- RB Leipzig: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Leverkusen: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Leverkusen: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- RB Leipzig: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig (half time 1-0).
Did the Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip lost.