UEFA Champions LeagueMatchday 3
Man City vs AEK Athens: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 6d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
1X2EloMan City221746%86%Draw25%9%AEK Athens177329%5%
Goalsattack/defenceno forecast
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Man City : AEK AthensMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-011%2-19%0-19%2-08%
Model1-11-112%1-01-011%2-12-19%0-10-19%2-02-08%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54% |
| 1 – Man City win | 46% |
| 2 – AEK Athens win | 29% |
| X – draw | 25% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Man City: only 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 21 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- AEK Athens: newly promoted
- Man City: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- AEK Athens: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 17 | AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Man City vs AEK Athens?
Man City are the favourites. Chances: Man City win 46%, draw 25%, AEK Athens win 29%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Man City vs AEK Athens?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Man City 1.5, AEK Athens 1.1). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Man City vs AEK Athens?
The UEFA Champions League match kicks off 20 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).