Man City vs Paris SG: prediction, tips and stats

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Referee:
Sven Jablonski

Our tips

Tip in 12h 44m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloMan City221744%49%Draw24%25%Paris SG218432%26%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%O2.567%
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Paris SG4:2Man CityL
  2. Man City2:1Paris SGW
  3. Paris SG2:0Man CityL
  4. Man City2:0Paris SGW
  5. Paris SG1:2Man CityW
Man City's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.6under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.7under 3.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
RefereeS. Jablonski−1.1 yellow cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removed
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.6total 3.5
Man City : Paris SG
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%2-06%
Market1-11-110%2-12-19%1-21-27%2-22-27%2-02-06%
OutcomeMarket
Over 1.5 goals86%
12 – no draw76%
Both teams to score: yes68%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%
Over 2.5 goals67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%
Under 3.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals45%
1 – Man City win44%
Under 2.5 goals33%
2 – Paris SG win32%
Both teams to score: no32%
X – draw24%
Under 1.5 goals14%

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Paris SG score 3.0 goals per game
  • Paris SG: unbeaten in 11 matches
  • Paris SG: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Man City: only 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 21 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Man City: 36 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Paris SG: 35 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

Form in the competition

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Paris SG11006:13
9Man City11002:03
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Man City vs Paris SG?

Man City are the favourites. Chances: Man City win 44%, draw 24%, Paris SG win 32%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Man City vs Paris SG?

Expected goals: 3.5 (Man City 1.9, Paris SG 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Man City vs Paris SG?

The chance that both teams score is 68%.

When is Man City vs Paris SG?

The UEFA Champions League match kicks off 14 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).

Who is the referee for Man City vs Paris SG?

The referee is Sven Jablonski. In 27 matches in our data they showed 2.6 yellow cards a match on average.