Ligue 1Matchday 5
Marseille 1-2 Paris SG: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- CEPAC Velodrome, Marseille
- Referee:
- Francois Letexier
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won73%
our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8
Other tips
- Match Result: Paris SGWon69%
Paris SG: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Won9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.573%56%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Paris SG5:0MarseilleL
- Marseille1:0Paris SGW
- Paris SG3:1MarseilleL
- Marseille0:3Paris SGL
- Marseille0:2Paris SGL
Marseille's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.6under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.9under 4.5: 69%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 5
RefereeF. Letexier0.0 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.6total 3.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.6total 3.0
Marseille : Paris SGMost likely scores
Market1-17%1-29%1-38%0-28%0-1—2-1—0-37%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%1-3—0-26%0-18%2-18%0-3—1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%1-31-38%1-3—0-20-28%0-26%0-10-1—0-18%2-12-1—2-18%0-30-37%0-3—1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%79% | 79% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 86%67% | 67% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%75% | 75% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 73%56% | 56% |
| 2 – Paris SG win | 69%41% · Elo 68% | 41%· Elo 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52%34% | 34% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%40% | 40% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 31%59% | 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 17%25% · Elo 19% | 25%· Elo 19% |
| 1 – Marseille win | 14%33% · Elo 13% | 33%· Elo 13% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Marseille attack vs Paris SG defenceattack1579defence1625−46 pts to the attack
Paris SG attack vs Marseille defenceattack1663defence1525+138 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Paris SG matches average only 2.2 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Marseille: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Paris SG: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris SG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Marseille vs Paris SG?
Marseille 1-2 Paris SG (half time 0-0).
Did the Marseille vs Paris SG tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.