UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 3
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 8d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
1X2EloArarat-Armenia158541%28%Draw23%26%AZ Alkmaar174736%46%
Goalsattack/defenceno forecast
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Ararat-Armenia : AZ AlkmaarMost likely scores
Model1-111%1-09%2-19%0-19%1-28%
Model1-11-111%1-01-09%2-12-19%0-10-19%1-21-28%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59% |
| 1 – Ararat-Armenia win | 41% |
| 2 – AZ Alkmaar win | 36% |
| X – draw | 23% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ararat-Armenia: newly promoted
- AZ Alkmaar: newly promoted
- Ararat-Armenia: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- AZ Alkmaar: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
AZ Alkmaar
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Ararat-Armenia win 41%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar win 36%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Ararat-Armenia 1.5, AZ Alkmaar 1.4). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
The UEFA Europa League match kicks off 22 October 2026, 17:45 (UK time).