Premier DivisionMatchday 35

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 9d 8h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloBohemians146545%46%Draw28%28%Shelbourne141127%25%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%O2.549%51%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shelbourne0:3BohemiansW
  2. Bohemians2:2ShelbourneD
  3. Shelbourne0:0BohemiansD
  4. Bohemians2:3ShelbourneL
  5. Shelbourne2:2BohemiansD
Bohemians's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.3under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Bohemians : Shelbourne
Most likely scores
Model1-114%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-09%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeModelAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals73%71%71%
12 – no draw72%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals51%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals49%51%51%
1 – Bohemians win45%50% · Elo 46%50%· Elo 46%
X – draw28%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals27%29%29%
2 – Shelbourne win27%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals25%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Bohemians attack vs Shelbourne defenceattack1614defence1564+50 pts to the attack
Shelbourne attack vs Bohemians defenceattack1501defence1556−55 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.557%60%
8.544%46%
9.532%30%
10.522%22%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemianswe expect 5.2, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 57%
Shelbournewe expect 3.2, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.552%53%
21.544%49%
22.537%44%
23.531%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemianswe expect 9.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Shelbournewe expect 11.4, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.578%78%
2.555%49%
3.533%34%
4.517%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemianswe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Shelbournewe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Bohemians33178858:4059
4Shelbourne3310131047:4643
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians are the favourites. Chances: Bohemians win 45%, draw 28%, Shelbourne win 27%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Expected goals: 2.6 (Bohemians 1.5, Shelbourne 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

The Premier Division match kicks off 23 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).