Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.2over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 41% of matches end over 10.5 corners.

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.3under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.

Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Model1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9

Waterford : Drogheda

Most likely scores

Model1-113%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%

ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-16%

Outcome	Model	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	79%79%	79%
12 – no draw	73%75%	75%
1X – home team avoid defeat	72%73%	73%
Under 3.5 goals	68%67%	67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	55%52%	52%
Over 2.5 goals	55%55%	55%
Under 2.5 goals	45%45%	45%
1 – Waterford win	45%48% · Elo 44%	48%· Elo 44%
Over 3.5 goals	32%33%	33%
2 – Drogheda win	28%27% · Elo 28%	27%· Elo 28%
X – draw	27%25% · Elo 29%	25%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals	21%21%	21%

Attack vs defence

Waterford attack vs Drogheda defenceattack1533defence1465+68 pts to the attack

Drogheda attack vs Waterford defenceattack1412defence1396+16 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%

We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.555%60%

8.542%46%

9.530%30%

10.520%22%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Waterfordwe expect 5.1, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 56%

Droghedawe expect 3.0, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 36%

Foulsleague average

Over 21.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over

We expect 22.2 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

20.560%53%

21.553%49%

22.546%44%

23.539%36%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Waterfordwe expect 12.9, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 71%

Droghedawe expect 9.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 34%

Offsidesleague average

Over 2.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over

We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

1.585%78%

2.565%49%

3.544%34%

4.525%21%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Waterfordwe expect 2.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 63%

Droghedawe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Waterford matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
Waterford: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Waterford: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Drogheda: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Waterford

Drogheda

League position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44:54	34
9	Drogheda	33	8	10	15	39:54	34

Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda?

Waterford are the favourites. Chances: Waterford win 45%, draw 27%, Drogheda win 28%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Drogheda?

Expected goals: 2.9 (Waterford 1.6, Drogheda 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Waterford vs Drogheda?

The Premier Division match kicks off 23 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).

Our tips

The match in numbers

Prediction: result and goals

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Worth knowing before kick-off

League form

Waterford

Drogheda

League position

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda?

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Drogheda?

When is Waterford vs Drogheda?

See also