Serie AMatchday 6

Como 0-0 Roma: prediction, tips and result

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Como
1-12-14-12-10-2
0-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Roma
2-22-02-14-04-0
Stadium:
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Referee:
Michael Fabbri

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost59%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5; over 2.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (48% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Offsides – Roma: Over 2.5Won60%

    Roma: 3.8 offsides a match, Como's opponents were caught offside 3.8 times on average, league average 1.7; our numbers for Roma: 3.2 offsides against a league average of 1.7

  • Fouls – Como: Under 11.5Won66%

    Como: under 11.5 fouls in 5 of their last 5 league matches, Roma's opponents committed under 11.5 in 5 of 5 (52% of league matches); 7.2 fouls a match, Roma's opponents committed 8.6 on average, league average 11.5

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost37%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5; over 3.5 goals in 1 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (23% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloComo194241%33%Draw27%30%Roma199933%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%59%O2.561%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Como2:1RomaW
  2. Roma1:0ComoL
  3. Roma2:1ComoL
  4. Como2:0RomaW
  5. Como2:0RomaW
Como's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.8over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 5
RefereeM. Fabbri+0.1 yellow cards vs average19 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 74% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Como : Roma
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%1-06%0-1—2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-18%2-2—2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-08%0-10-1—0-18%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes64%59%59%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals61%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals61%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%61%61%
1 – Como win41%39% · Elo 33%39%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals39%33%33%
Both teams to score: no36%42%42%
2 – Roma win33%36% · Elo 37%36%· Elo 37%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 30%26%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Como attack vs Roma defenceattack1608defence1609−1 pts to the attack
Roma attack vs Como defenceattack1638defence1573+65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.554%57%
8.541%40%
9.529%27%
10.519%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Comowe expect 4.3, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Romawe expect 3.6, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 21.3 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.540%52%
23.533%46%
24.527%38%
25.522%34%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Comowe expect 10.2, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Romawe expect 11.6, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Referee: 23.5 fouls per match on average (19 matches in our data)−1.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 70%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 30%over
We expect 4.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.585%62%
3.570%41%
4.553%28%
5.536%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Comowe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Romawe expect 3.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 81%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Roma score 2.7 goals per game
  • Roma concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Roma: unbeaten in 12 matches
  • Roma: 28 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 20 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Como: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Roma: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Como

Roma

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Roma642014:314
7Como63219:611
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Como vs Roma?

Como 0-0 Roma (half time 0-0).

Did the Como vs Roma tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.

See also