Serie AMatchday 5

Roma 2-2 Inter: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Referee:
Davide Massa

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won38%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRoma199935%33%Draw28%30%Inter206237%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%64%O2.561%61%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Inter5:2RomaL
  2. Roma0:1InterL
  3. Inter0:1RomaW
  4. Roma0:1InterL
  5. Roma2:4InterL
Roma's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 8.9over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 31%.won · ended 6
RefereeD. Massa+0.6 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.6total 3.2
Roma : Inter
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-28%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-16%0-16%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%82%82%
12 – no draw72%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes64%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals62%61%61%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals61%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals39%39%39%
Over 3.5 goals38%39%39%
2 – Inter win37%38% · Elo 37%38%· Elo 37%
Both teams to score: no36%37%37%
1 – Roma win35%38% · Elo 33%38%· Elo 33%
X – draw28%24% · Elo 30%24%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals17%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Roma attack vs Inter defenceattack1634defence1595+39 pts to the attack
Inter attack vs Roma defenceattack1746defence1615+131 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Inter score 2.7 goals per game
  • Roma score 2.6 goals per game
  • Roma concede only 0.4 goals per game
  • Roma: 9 wins in a row
  • Inter: 4 wins in a row
  • Roma: 28 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 20 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Roma: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Inter: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Inter651018:816
3Roma642014:314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Roma vs Inter?

Roma 2-2 Inter (half time 2-0).

Did the Roma vs Inter tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.