Serie AMatchday 7
Juventus vs Lazio: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%53%O2.550%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Juventus2:2LazioD
- Lazio1:0JuventusL
- Lazio1:1JuventusD
- Juventus1:0LazioW
- Lazio1:0JuventusL
Juventus's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 8.9over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.6over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.9total 2.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Juventus : LazioMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-110%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%71% | 71% |
| 1 – Juventus win | 58%52% · Elo 47% | 52%· Elo 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Lazio win | 18%23% · Elo 25% | 23%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Juventus attack vs Lazio defenceattack1597defence1533+64 pts to the attack
Lazio attack vs Juventus defenceattack1509defence1612−103 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.565%57%
8.552%41%
9.540%28%
10.529%19%
Each team on its own
Juventuswe expect 6.1, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 70%
Laziowe expect 3.4, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 22.8 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.550%51%
23.543%45%
24.536%37%
25.530%33%
Each team on its own
Juventuswe expect 11.4, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 47%
Laziowe expect 11.3, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%62%
3.542%41%
4.524%28%
5.512%15%
Each team on its own
Juventuswe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Laziowe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- Juventus8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals at homeoverall: 2Went on 57%League 43%Model 50%Record 21
Players
- Tijjani NoslinLazio3 matches with a goal or assist2 goals, 2 assistsWent on 33%Season 60%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lazio matches average 5.2 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Juventus: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Juventus matches average 11.0 corners (league 8.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Lazio: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Juventus: only 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 22 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Juventus: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Lazio: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Juventus vs Lazio?
Juventus are the favourites. Chances: Juventus win 58%, draw 24%, Lazio win 18%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Lazio?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Juventus 1.8, Lazio 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Juventus vs Lazio?
The chance that both teams score is 50%.
When is Juventus vs Lazio?
The Serie A match kicks off 18 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).