Serie AMatchday 6

Torino 2-1 Udinese: prediction, tips and result

·

Torino
1-21-22-10-21-1
2-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Udinese
0-13-51-23-21-1
Stadium:
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
Referee:
Valerio Crezzini

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5Won58%

under 3.5 card points in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (45% of league matches); 2.0 card points a match in the hosts' matches, 2.8 in the visitors', league average 3.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Fouls – Torino: Under 11.5Won64%

    Torino: under 11.5 fouls in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Udinese's opponents committed under 11.5 in 5 of 5 (52% of league matches); 9.0 fouls a match, Udinese's opponents committed 9.2 on average, league average 11.5

  • Shots on Target – Udinese: Over 3.5Lost62%

    Udinese: over 3.5 shots on target in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Torino's opponents had over 3.5 in 4 of 5 (52% of league matches); 4.8 shots on target a match, Torino's opponents had 4.6 on average, league average 3.7

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won37%

under 2.5 card points in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (25% of league matches); 2.0 card points a match in the hosts' matches, 2.8 in the visitors', league average 3.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTorino176940%37%Draw32%30%Udinese177328%33%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%57%O2.541%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Udinese2:0TorinoL
  2. Torino1:2UdineseL
  3. Torino2:0UdineseW
  4. Udinese2:2TorinoD
  5. Udinese0:2TorinoW
Torino's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.9over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.6under 3.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 1
RefereeV. Crezzini−0.7 yellow cards vs average12 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%X21:0coverageleague 70% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Torino : Udinese
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-011%0-19%2-18%1-2—2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%0-0—0-18%2-19%1-28%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-011%1-09%0-00-011%0-0—0-10-19%0-18%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-2—1-28%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%68%68%
Over 1.5 goals69%77%77%
12 – no draw68%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%58%58%
Under 2.5 goals59%47%47%
Both teams to score: no52%43%43%
Both teams to score: yes48%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals41%53%53%
1 – Torino win40%42% · Elo 37%42%· Elo 37%
X – draw32%26% · Elo 30%26%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals31%23%23%
2 – Udinese win28%32% · Elo 33%32%· Elo 33%
Over 3.5 goals21%31%31%
Attack vs defence
Torino attack vs Udinese defenceattack1460defence1449+11 pts to the attack
Udinese attack vs Torino defenceattack1479defence1458+21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.560%57%
8.547%41%
9.535%28%
10.524%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Udinesewe expect 4.4, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 22.4 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.547%52%
23.540%45%
24.534%37%
25.528%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 10.5, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Udinesewe expect 11.2, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Referee: 25.1 fouls per match on average (12 matches in our data)+1.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.558%62%
3.536%40%
4.520%28%
5.59%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Udinesewe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Torino

Udinese

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Torino62137:97
15Udinese61149:134
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Torino vs Udinese?

Torino 2-1 Udinese (half time 1-1).

Did the Torino vs Udinese tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5. The tip won.

See also