J1 LeagueMatchday 10
Mito vs Urawa Reds: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 2hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%54%O2.548%49%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.4
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Mito1:4Urawa RedsL
- Urawa Reds2:0MitoL
Mito's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.5league 2.6under 2.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.4total 2.6
Mito : Urawa RedsMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-29%1-0—0-08%0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-29%1-08%0-08%0-2—2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-08%0-08%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%68% | 68% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%59% | 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Urawa Reds win | 45%41% · Elo 43% | 41%· Elo 43% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Mito win | 27%32% · Elo 29% | 32%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%26% | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Mito attack vs Urawa Reds defenceattack1430defence1500−70 pts to the attack
Urawa Reds attack vs Mito defenceattack1512defence1426+86 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.559%53%
8.546%39%
9.534%28%
10.523%23%
Each team on its own
Mitowe expect 4.7, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Urawa Redswe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 19.0 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.552%58%
19.544%49%
20.537%42%
21.530%35%
Each team on its own
Mitowe expect 9.6, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 49%
Urawa Redswe expect 9.3, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%54%
3.544%35%
4.526%19%
5.513%13%
Each team on its own
Mitowe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Urawa Redswe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Urawa Reds concede 2.3 goals per game
- Urawa Reds: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Mito: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Urawa Reds: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mito vs Urawa Reds?
Urawa Reds are the favourites. Chances: Mito win 27%, draw 28%, Urawa Reds win 45%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Mito vs Urawa Reds?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Mito 1.1, Urawa Reds 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Mito vs Urawa Reds?
The chance that both teams score is 52%.
When is Mito vs Urawa Reds?
The J1 League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 08:00 (UK time).