J1 LeagueMatchday 9

Mito 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mito Shinkin Bank Stadium, Mito

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloMito153433%37%Draw30%29%Shimizu S-Pulse157137%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.542%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.4league 2.6under 2.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)74%1X0:1coverageleague 79%not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Mito : Shimizu S-Pulse
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%1-010%0-010%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-010%0-09%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-110%1-01-010%1-010%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw70%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals69%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%66%66%
Under 2.5 goals58%55%55%
Both teams to score: no51%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals42%45%45%
2 – Shimizu S-Pulse win37%35% · Elo 34%35%· Elo 34%
1 – Mito win33%38% · Elo 37%38%· Elo 37%
Under 1.5 goals31%29%29%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 29%28%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Mito attack vs Shimizu S-Pulse defenceattack1435defence1489−54 pts to the attack
Shimizu S-Pulse attack vs Mito defenceattack1424defence1429−5 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.552%53%
8.539%39%
9.527%28%
10.518%23%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Mitowe expect 4.1, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Shimizu S-Pulsewe expect 3.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 19.0 in this match, 19.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.552%58%
19.544%48%
20.537%41%
21.530%34%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Mitowe expect 9.9, league average 9.6 · chance of over 9.5: 52%
Shimizu S-Pulsewe expect 9.1, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 31%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.569%54%
3.549%35%
4.530%20%
5.516%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Mitowe expect 2.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 70%
Shimizu S-Pulsewe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 34%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shimizu S-Pulse score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Mito: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Shimizu S-Pulse94148:913
13Mito923412:139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mito vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Mito 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse (half time 0-0).