J1 LeagueMatchday 10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 3d 1hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%52%O2.566%53%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kyoto0:4Sanfrecce HiroshimaW
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:2KyotoL
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:1KyotoD
- Kyoto1:0Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima0:1KyotoL
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.8league 2.6over 2.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 2.8 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.8
Sanfrecce Hiroshima : KyotoMost likely scores
Market1-18%1-08%2-010%2-19%3-08%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-011%2-010%2-110%3-06%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%1-01-08%1-011%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-08%3-06%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%81% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%77% | 77% |
| 1 – Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 71%58% · Elo 60% | 58%· Elo 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%53% | 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%52% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%31% | 31% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 29%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 17%23% · Elo 23% | 23%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Kyoto win | 12%19% · Elo 17% | 19%· Elo 17% |
Attack vs defence
Sanfrecce Hiroshima attack vs Kyoto defenceattack1622defence1471+151 pts to the attack
Kyoto attack vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima defenceattack1494defence1628−134 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%53%
8.549%39%
9.536%28%
10.526%23%
Each team on its own
Sanfrecce Hiroshimawe expect 5.7, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 65%
Kyotowe expect 3.3, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 18.6 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.549%58%
19.541%49%
20.534%42%
21.527%35%
Each team on its own
Sanfrecce Hiroshimawe expect 8.4, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 35%
Kyotowe expect 10.1, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%54%
3.544%35%
4.526%19%
5.513%13%
Each team on its own
Sanfrecce Hiroshimawe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Kyotowe expect 1.7, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 goals per game
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Kyoto: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 20 |
| 16 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the favourites. Chances: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 71%, draw 17%, Kyoto win 12%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.5, Kyoto 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto?
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto?
The J1 League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 06:00 (UK time).