J1 LeagueMatchday 9

Kyoto 0-1 Machida: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost58%

9.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.8 in the visitors', league average 9.4

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Lost46%

9.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.8 in the visitors', league average 9.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKyoto158327%23%Draw27%26%Machida175746%50%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%54%O2.549%50%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Kyoto1:1MachidaD
  2. Machida1:2KyotoW
  3. Machida1:0KyotoL
  4. Kyoto0:3MachidaL
Kyoto's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.4under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.7league 2.6over 2.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Kyoto : Machida
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-29%1-0—0-28%0-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-29%1-08%0-2—0-07%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-08%0-07%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%67%67%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals73%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat54%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes54%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals51%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals49%50%50%
2 – Machida win46%40% · Elo 50%40%· Elo 50%
Both teams to score: no46%46%46%
1 – Kyoto win27%33% · Elo 23%33%· Elo 23%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals27%28%28%
Under 1.5 goals25%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Kyoto attack vs Machida defenceattack1497defence1562−65 pts to the attack
Machida attack vs Kyoto defenceattack1542defence1469+73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.565%53%
8.552%39%
9.539%28%
10.528%23%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Kyotowe expect 4.4, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Machidawe expect 4.8, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 69%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 18.5 in this match, 19.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.548%58%
19.540%48%
20.533%42%
21.527%34%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Kyotowe expect 9.2, league average 9.6 · chance of over 9.5: 44%
Machidawe expect 9.2, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 33%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.561%54%
3.539%35%
4.521%19%
5.510%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Kyotowe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Machidawe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 47%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Kyoto concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Machida score 2.3 goals per game
  • Machida matches average only 7.3 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Kyoto: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Machida: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Machida962122:1020
16Kyoto922511:168
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kyoto vs Machida?

Kyoto 0-1 Machida (half time 0-0).

Did the Kyoto vs Machida tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.