J1 LeagueMatchday 7

Machida 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
MUFG Stadium, Tokyo
Referee:
Koji Takasaki

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost59%

under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (56% of league matches); 7.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.3 in the visitors', league average 9.3

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Lost47%

under 8.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (45% of league matches); 7.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.3 in the visitors', league average 9.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMachida175751%50%Draw26%26%Yokohama F. Marinos168424%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.549%51%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Machida2:0Yokohama F. MarinosW
  2. Yokohama F. Marinos2:3MachidaW
  3. Yokohama F. Marinos0:0MachidaD
  4. Machida0:3Yokohama F. MarinosL
  5. Machida1:2Yokohama F. MarinosL
Machida's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.3under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards2.5league 2.6under 2.5: 55%Expected cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 5
RefereeK. Takasaki−0.3 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Machida : Yokohama F. Marinos
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-011%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat77%73%73%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals72%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes53%54%54%
1 – Machida win51%48% · Elo 50%48%· Elo 50%
Under 2.5 goals51%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals49%51%51%
Both teams to score: no47%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals28%29%29%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals25%25%25%
2 – Yokohama F. Marinos win24%27% · Elo 24%27%· Elo 24%
Attack vs defence
Machida attack vs Yokohama F. Marinos defenceattack1551defence1479+72 pts to the attack
Yokohama F. Marinos attack vs Machida defenceattack1539defence1579−40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Machida matches average only 7.2 corners (league 9.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Machida: unbeaten in 17 matches
  • Machida: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Machida: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Machida962122:1020
7Yokohama F. Marinos943213:915
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Machida vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Machida 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos (half time 0-1).

Did the Machida vs Yokohama F. Marinos tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.