J1 LeagueMatchday 8

Machida 2-4 Kashiwa Reysol: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Machida Stadium, Tokyo
Referee:
Takafumi Mikuriya

The match in numbers

1X2EloMachida175736%50%Draw28%26%Kashiwa Reysol170035%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%52%O2.548%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Machida1:0Kashiwa ReysolW
  2. Kashiwa Reysol0:1MachidaW
  3. Kashiwa Reysol1:0MachidaL
  4. Machida3:0Kashiwa ReysolW
  5. Kashiwa Reysol1:1MachidaD
Machida's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.4under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.7under 2.5: 53%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 4
RefereeT. Mikuriya−0.3 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Machida : Kashiwa Reysol
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-19%2-18%2-0—0-08%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-18%2-19%2-08%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-19%0-18%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%0-00-08%0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals74%74%74%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes54%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals52%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals48%47%47%
Both teams to score: no46%48%48%
1 – Machida win36%45% · Elo 50%45%· Elo 50%
2 – Kashiwa Reysol win35%28% · Elo 23%28%· Elo 23%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals26%27%27%
Over 3.5 goals26%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Machida attack vs Kashiwa Reysol defenceattack1543defence1522+21 pts to the attack
Kashiwa Reysol attack vs Machida defenceattack1530defence1581−51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Kashiwa Reysol score 2.3 goals per game
  • Machida matches average only 7.2 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Machida: unbeaten in 18 matches
  • Machida: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Machida: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kashiwa Reysol: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kashiwa Reysol970221:1421
3Machida962122:1020
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Machida vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Machida 2-4 Kashiwa Reysol (half time 1-0).