Eerste DivisieMatchday 11
Den Bosch vs Oss: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 2d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%59%O2.571%58%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Oss4:2Den BoschL
- Den Bosch5:2OssW
- Den Bosch1:0OssW
- Oss1:0Den BoschL
- Oss1:2Den BoschW
Den Bosch's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.1league 10.4over 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 11.1 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.2under 3.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.4total 3.7Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Den Bosch : OssMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-0—2-07%3-17%1-2—2-26%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%3-16%1-26%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%2-02-07%2-08%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Den Bosch win | 56%52% · Elo 44% | 52%· Elo 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%36% | 36% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Oss win | 22%25% · Elo 30% | 25%· Elo 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Den Bosch attack vs Oss defenceattack1481defence1453+28 pts to the attack
Oss attack vs Den Bosch defenceattack1414defence1489−75 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.562%61%
9.550%51%
10.538%36%
11.527%29%
Each team on its own
Den Boschwe expect 5.5, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 47%
Osswe expect 4.2, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 23.4 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.554%48%
23.547%45%
24.541%36%
25.534%32%
Each team on its own
Den Boschwe expect 11.1, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Osswe expect 12.3, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%59%
3.546%31%
4.527%20%
5.514%11%
Each team on its own
Den Boschwe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Osswe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Den Bosch8 matches in a row with BTTS at homeWent on 55%League 67%Model 68%Record 20
- Oss5 defeats in a row awayWent on 52%League 56%Model 56%Record 12
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Oss: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Den Bosch: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Oss: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Oss | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Den Bosch vs Oss?
Den Bosch are the favourites. Chances: Den Bosch win 56%, draw 22%, Oss win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Den Bosch vs Oss?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Den Bosch 2.3, Oss 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 71%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Den Bosch vs Oss?
The chance that both teams score is 68%.
When is Den Bosch vs Oss?
The Eerste Divisie match kicks off 16 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).