Eerste DivisieMatchday 10

Oss 3-1 Helmond: prediction, tips and result

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3-1Full time(half time 2-1)
Stadium:
Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloOss123243%46%Draw25%25%Helmond119131%29%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%54%O2.561%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Helmond1:1OssD
  2. Oss0:3HelmondL
  3. Oss1:1HelmondD
  4. Helmond1:0OssL
  5. Oss1:0HelmondW
Oss's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 5
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.7
Oss : Helmond
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-06%2-19%0-1—1-28%0-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%1-28%0-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-06%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-07%2-22-27%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%74%74%
12 – no draw74%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes64%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals61%50%50%
Under 3.5 goals61%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%59%59%
1 – Oss win43%41% · Elo 46%41%· Elo 46%
Under 2.5 goals39%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals39%27%27%
Both teams to score: no36%46%46%
2 – Helmond win31%32% · Elo 29%32%· Elo 29%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 25%27%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals17%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Oss attack vs Helmond defenceattack1397defence1511−114 pts to the attack
Helmond attack vs Oss defenceattack1398defence1463−65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.546%57%
10.534%40%
11.524%32%
12.516%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Osswe expect 4.8, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 35%
Helmondwe expect 4.1, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 23.2 in this match, 23.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.553%48%
23.546%46%
24.539%35%
25.533%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Osswe expect 10.5, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 27%
Helmondwe expect 12.7, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 67%close to the league averageunderover 33%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.555%58%
3.533%30%
4.517%21%
5.58%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Osswe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Helmondwe expect 1.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 29%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Oss1040615:1512
17Helmond1023516:199
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Oss vs Helmond?

Oss 3-1 Helmond (half time 2-1).