Eerste DivisieMatchday 8

MVV Maastricht 2-0 Helmond: prediction, tips and result

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MVV Maastricht
1-02-11-10-41-6
2-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Helmond
1-23-14-22-31-1
Stadium:
De Geusselt, Maastricht

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won58%

under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (51% of league matches); 8.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.5

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost59%

    goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 7 (65% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won46%

under 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (40% of league matches); 8.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.6 in the visitors', league average 10.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMVV Maastricht119343%42%Draw26%26%Helmond119130%32%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.555%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. MVV Maastricht0:0HelmondD
  2. Helmond2:4MVV MaastrichtW
  3. Helmond4:0MVV MaastrichtL
  4. MVV Maastricht1:2HelmondL
  5. MVV Maastricht3:0HelmondW
MVV Maastricht's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.5under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)69%O2.51:1coverageleague 72% · H2H 4/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
MVV Maastricht : Helmond
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%0-1—1-27%2-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%2-19%1-09%0-18%1-28%2-0—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-27%1-28%2-02-07%2-0—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals67%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals55%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals45%48%48%
1 – MVV Maastricht win43%40% · Elo 42%40%· Elo 42%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals33%29%29%
2 – Helmond win30%34% · Elo 32%34%· Elo 32%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
MVV Maastricht attack vs Helmond defenceattack1398defence1516−118 pts to the attack
Helmond attack vs MVV Maastricht defenceattack1397defence1436−39 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

MVV Maastricht

Helmond

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7MVV Maastricht1051413:2016
17Helmond1023516:199
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of MVV Maastricht vs Helmond?

MVV Maastricht 2-0 Helmond (half time 0-0).

Did the MVV Maastricht vs Helmond tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.

See also