Eerste DivisieMatchday 10

Jong AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Den Bosch: prediction, tips and result

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Jong AZ Alkmaar
2-16-32-31-14-1
0-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Den Bosch
1-10-12-10-21-3
Stadium:
AFAS Trainingscomplex, Alkmaar

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost60%

our numbers: 4.2 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:2Lost7%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloJong AZ Alkmaar128149%50%Draw22%25%Den Bosch124329%26%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS78%67%O2.581%68%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jong AZ Alkmaar2:2Den BoschD
  2. Den Bosch2:3Jong AZ AlkmaarW
  3. Jong AZ Alkmaar0:0Den BoschD
  4. Den Bosch6:0Jong AZ AlkmaarL
  5. Den Bosch0:0Jong AZ AlkmaarD
Jong AZ Alkmaar's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 17
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 1
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)68%O3.52:1coverageleague 49% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.9total 4.3Attack/defence2.0 : 1.5total 3.5
Jong AZ Alkmaar : Den Bosch
Most likely scores
Market1-16%2-17%2-27%1-26%2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-19%2-19%2-27%1-27%2-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-16%1-19%2-12-17%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-21-26%1-27%2-02-0—2-06%3-13-16%3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals94%86%86%
Over 2.5 goals81%68%68%
12 – no draw78%78%78%
Both teams to score: yes78%67%67%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%72%72%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals63%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%50%50%
1 – Jong AZ Alkmaar win49%50% · Elo 50%50%· Elo 50%
Under 3.5 goals37%54%54%
2 – Den Bosch win29%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
X – draw22%22% · Elo 25%22%· Elo 25%
Both teams to score: no22%33%33%
Under 2.5 goals19%32%32%
Under 1.5 goals6%14%14%
Attack vs defence
Jong AZ Alkmaar attack vs Den Bosch defenceattack1558defence1477+81 pts to the attack
Den Bosch attack vs Jong AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1483defence1454+29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 50%
We expect 10.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.561%57%
10.550%40%
11.538%32%
12.528%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Jong AZ Alkmaarwe expect 6.9, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 66%
Den Boschwe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 22.8 in this match, 23.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.550%48%
23.543%46%
24.537%35%
25.530%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Jong AZ Alkmaarwe expect 12.3, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 45%
Den Boschwe expect 10.5, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 37%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.567%58%
3.546%30%
4.528%21%
5.514%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Jong AZ Alkmaarwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Den Boschwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 56%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Den Bosch concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar score 2.4 goals per game
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Den Bosch: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Jong AZ Alkmaar

Den Bosch

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Jong AZ Alkmaar1041522:1813
14Den Bosch1032514:1811
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Den Bosch?

Jong AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Den Bosch (half time 0-1).

Did the Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Den Bosch tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip lost.

See also