Eerste DivisieMatchday 12
Vitesse vs FC Emmen: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 9d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%O2.559%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vitesse3:3FC EmmenD
- FC Emmen2:4VitesseW
- Vitesse2:0FC EmmenW
- FC Emmen3:3VitesseD
- FC Emmen2:2VitesseD
Vitesse's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses4.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.2under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.9 : 1.4total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.0
Vitesse : FC EmmenMost likely scores
Model1-110%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%2-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-08%2-02-07%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%72% | 72% |
| 1 – Vitesse win | 50%48% · Elo 49% | 48%· Elo 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%52% | 52% |
| 2 – FC Emmen win | 28%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 25% | 24%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Vitesse attack vs FC Emmen defenceattack1511defence1503+8 pts to the attack
FC Emmen attack vs Vitesse defenceattack1511defence1545−34 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.560%61%
9.548%51%
10.536%36%
11.526%29%
Each team on its own
Vitessewe expect 4.5, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 31%
FC Emmenwe expect 4.8, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 23.3 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.553%48%
23.546%45%
24.540%36%
25.533%32%
Each team on its own
Vitessewe expect 11.4, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 47%
FC Emmenwe expect 11.8, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 68%close to the league averageunderover 32%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.554%59%
3.532%31%
4.517%20%
5.57%11%
Each team on its own
Vitessewe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
FC Emmenwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vitesse vs FC Emmen?
Vitesse are the favourites. Chances: Vitesse win 50%, draw 22%, FC Emmen win 28%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs FC Emmen?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Vitesse 1.9, FC Emmen 1.4). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Vitesse vs FC Emmen?
The Eerste Divisie match kicks off 23 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).