Eerste DivisieMatchday 11
Waalwijk vs Volendam: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%62%O2.569%61%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Volendam3:2WaalwijkL
- Waalwijk2:1VolendamW
- Waalwijk4:1VolendamW
- Volendam2:1WaalwijkL
- Waalwijk3:3VolendamD
Waalwijk's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.2under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.5total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.1
Waalwijk : VolendamMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%1-0—2-27%2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%2-26%2-07%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%2-02-0—2-07%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Waalwijk win | 49%45% · Elo 41% | 45%· Elo 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%38% | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%39% | 39% |
| 2 – Volendam win | 27%31% · Elo 33% | 31%· Elo 33% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Waalwijk attack vs Volendam defenceattack1568defence1563+5 pts to the attack
Volendam attack vs Waalwijk defenceattack1557defence1550+7 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.560%61%
9.548%51%
10.536%36%
11.526%29%
Each team on its own
Waalwijkwe expect 5.9, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 52%
Volendamwe expect 3.7, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 22.5 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.548%48%
23.541%45%
24.534%36%
25.528%32%
Each team on its own
Waalwijkwe expect 11.4, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 47%
Volendamwe expect 11.0, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.547%59%
3.525%31%
4.512%20%
5.55%11%
Each team on its own
Waalwijkwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Volendamwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Volendam5 defeats in a row awayWent on 52%League 56%Model 49%Record 12
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Volendam: newly promoted
- Waalwijk: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Volendam: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Waalwijk vs Volendam?
Waalwijk are the favourites. Chances: Waalwijk win 49%, draw 24%, Volendam win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Volendam?
Expected goals: 3.5 (Waalwijk 2.0, Volendam 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 69%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Waalwijk vs Volendam?
The chance that both teams score is 68%.
When is Waalwijk vs Volendam?
The Eerste Divisie match kicks off 18 October 2026, 11:15 (UK time).