Eerste DivisieMatchday 10
Heracles 3-0 Waalwijk: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Erve Asito, Almelo
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Match Result: HeraclesWon66%
Heracles: won 7 of their last 9 league matches; won 4 of their last 4 league matches at home
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%65%O2.567%66%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Waalwijk0:0HeraclesD
- Heracles2:2WaalwijkD
- Heracles0:5WaalwijkL
- Waalwijk1:2HeraclesW
- Waalwijk2:0HeraclesL
Heracles's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)71%BTTS yes2:0coverageleague 66% · H2H 2/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.2total 3.5Attack/defence2.1 : 1.3total 3.4
Heracles : WaalwijkMost likely scores
Market2-110%1-19%2-08%3-17%1-07%2-2—Attack/defence2-110%1-110%2-07%3-17%1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-110%2-02-08%2-07%3-13-17%3-17%1-01-07%1-07%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%85% | 85% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%66% | 66% |
| Our tip: 1 – Heracles win | 63%54% · Elo 48% | 54%· Elo 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54%56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%36% | 36% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 37%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 20%22% · Elo 25% | 22%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Waalwijk win | 17%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Heracles attack vs Waalwijk defenceattack1648defence1558+90 pts to the attack
Waalwijk attack vs Heracles defenceattack1577defence1601−24 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.553%57%
10.541%40%
11.530%32%
12.521%24%
Each team on its own
Heracleswe expect 5.8, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 52%
Waalwijkwe expect 4.1, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 23.8 in this match, 23.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.557%48%
23.550%46%
24.543%35%
25.537%32%
Each team on its own
Heracleswe expect 11.7, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 40%
Waalwijkwe expect 12.1, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 78%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 22%
We expect 2.4 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.543%58%
3.522%30%
4.510%21%
5.54%11%
Each team on its own
Heracleswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Waalwijkwe expect 1.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Waalwijk score 2.3 goals per game
- Heracles: newly promoted
- Heracles: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Waalwijk: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Heracles vs Waalwijk?
Heracles 3-0 Waalwijk (half time 0-0).
Did the Heracles vs Waalwijk tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Heracles. The tip won.