EliteserienMatchday 26
Kristiansund vs Valerenga: prediction, tips and stats
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1.6:1.7Pre-match
- Referee:
- Marius Lien
Our tips
Tip in 19h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS70%66%O2.570%65%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.7H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Valerenga3:1KristiansundL
- Valerenga3:0KristiansundL
- Kristiansund0:2ValerengaL
- Valerenga0:2KristiansundW
- Kristiansund0:2ValerengaL
Kristiansund's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
11.1league 10.8over 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 11.1 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellows
2.8league 3.4under 3.5: 69%Expected yellow cards: 2.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.Referee
M. Lien−1.4 yellow cards vs average15 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.8total 3.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.7total 3.4
Kristiansund : ValerengaMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-28%2-18%2-27%0-1—1-0—1-35%Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-05%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-16%1-01-0—1-05%1-31-35%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 59%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Valerenga win | 40%41% · Elo 40% | 41%· Elo 40% |
| 1 – Kristiansund win | 36%36% · Elo 34% | 36%· Elo 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 30%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 26% | 23%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Kristiansund attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1397defence1451−54 pts to the attack
Valerenga attack vs Kristiansund defenceattack1533defence1394+139 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 9.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.565%54%
9.553%43%
10.541%34%
11.530%22%
Each team on its own
Kristiansundwe expect 4.9, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 37%
Valerengawe expect 5.3, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 22.3 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.561%53%
21.554%45%
22.547%35%
23.540%30%
Each team on its own
Kristiansundwe expect 10.3, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Valerengawe expect 12.3, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 65%
Referee: 20.4 fouls per match on average (20 matches in our data)−0.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%73%
2.547%50%
3.525%27%
4.512%12%
Each team on its own
Kristiansundwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 29%
Valerengawe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Kristiansund concede 2.6 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
- Kristiansund: 8 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Valerenga matches average 12.9 corners (league 10.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Kristiansund: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Valerenga: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Valerenga | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:51 | 23 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kristiansund vs Valerenga?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Kristiansund win 36%, draw 23%, Valerenga win 40%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Kristiansund vs Valerenga?
Expected goals: 3.5 (Kristiansund 1.7, Valerenga 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 70%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Kristiansund vs Valerenga?
The chance that both teams score is 70%.
When is Kristiansund vs Valerenga?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 9 November 2026, 18:00 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Kristiansund vs Valerenga?
The referee is Marius Lien. In 15 matches in our data they showed 2.3 yellow cards a match on average.