EliteserienMatchday 26
Rosenborg vs Start: prediction, tips and stats
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2.6:1.0Pre-match
- Referee:
- Espen Eskas
Our tips
Tip in 18h 16mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS54%57%O2.572%69%|exp. goals 2.6 : 1.0H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Start0:3RosenborgW
- Rosenborg1:0StartW
- Start0:0RosenborgD
- Start0:1RosenborgW
- Rosenborg2:0StartW
Rosenborg's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
11.0league 10.9over 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellows
3.4league 3.4under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.Referee
E. Eskas+0.1 yellow cards vs average19 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.9 : 0.8total 3.7Attack/defence2.6 : 1.0total 3.5
Rosenborg : StartMost likely scores
Market2-010%3-010%2-18%3-18%1-1—1-0—4-07%Attack/defence2-010%3-08%2-19%3-18%1-17%1-07%4-0—
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-010%3-03-010%3-08%2-12-18%2-19%3-13-18%3-18%1-11-1—1-17%1-01-0—1-07%4-04-07%4-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 92%89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%87% | 87% |
| 12 – no draw | 87%84% | 84% |
| 1 – Rosenborg win | 79%72% · Elo 73% | 72%· Elo 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51%47% | 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%43% | 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%31% | 31% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 21%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 13%16% · Elo 16% | 16%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%13% | 13% |
| 2 – Start win | 8%12% · Elo 11% | 12%· Elo 11% |
Attack vs defence
Rosenborg attack vs Start defenceattack1597defence1395+202 pts to the attack
Start attack vs Rosenborg defenceattack1374defence1558−184 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.559%55%
9.547%43%
10.535%34%
11.525%22%
Each team on its own
Rosenborgwe expect 6.3, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 59%
Startwe expect 3.5, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 28%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 22.4 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.561%53%
21.554%44%
22.547%36%
23.540%30%
Each team on its own
Rosenborgwe expect 11.9, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 62%
Startwe expect 10.4, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Referee: 20.8 fouls per match on average (16 matches in our data)+0.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 2.4 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.569%73%
2.543%50%
3.522%27%
4.510%12%
Each team on its own
Rosenborgwe expect 1.0, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Startwe expect 1.3, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Amin ChiakhaRosenborg6 matches with a goal8 goalsWent on 31%Season 58%
xG tips
- Match Result: StartUnlucky teamGoal difference −1.1, xG difference −0.1From odds 8%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Start concede 2.1 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
- Rosenborg score 2.8 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
- Rosenborg: 8 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Rosenborg: 25 pts in the last 10 league matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Start: newly promoted
- Rosenborg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Start: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rosenborg vs Start?
Rosenborg are the favourites. Chances: Rosenborg win 79%, draw 13%, Start win 8%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Rosenborg vs Start?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Rosenborg 2.9, Start 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 72%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Rosenborg vs Start?
The chance that both teams score is 54%.
When is Rosenborg vs Start?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 7 November 2026, 17:00 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Rosenborg vs Start?
The referee is Espen Eskas. In 19 matches in our data they showed 3.5 yellow cards a match on average.