EliteserienMatchday 12
Start vs Sandefjord: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%O2.553%54%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sandefjord3:0StartL
- Start0:1SandefjordL
- Sandefjord2:2StartD
- Sandefjord4:1StartL
- Start1:4SandefjordL
Start's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.9over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.3under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.2 : 1.6total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.8
Start : SandefjordMost likely scores
Model1-112%0-110%1-29%2-1—0-28%1-07%Attack/defence1-112%0-18%1-29%2-18%0-26%1-08%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-110%0-18%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-1—2-18%0-20-28%0-26%1-01-07%1-08%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%66% | 66% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 54%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Sandefjord win | 46%40% · Elo 43% | 40%· Elo 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%32% | 32% |
| 1 – Start win | 28%34% · Elo 31% | 34%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Start attack vs Sandefjord defenceattack1391defence1525−134 pts to the attack
Sandefjord attack vs Start defenceattack1473defence1401+72 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 9.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.554%55%
9.541%43%
10.530%35%
11.521%21%
Each team on its own
Startwe expect 5.4, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 45%
Sandefjordwe expect 3.6, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 30%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 21.9 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.565%56%
20.558%52%
21.551%43%
22.544%35%
Each team on its own
Startwe expect 11.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Sandefjordwe expect 10.6, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.571%73%
2.546%50%
3.525%28%
4.511%12%
Each team on its own
Startwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Sandefjordwe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 28%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Start concede 2.0 goals per game
- Start: newly promoted
- Start: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sandefjord: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:28 | 24 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24:48 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?
Sandefjord are the favourites. Chances: Start win 28%, draw 25%, Sandefjord win 46%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Start vs Sandefjord?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Start 1.2, Sandefjord 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Start vs Sandefjord?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 25 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).