1. LigaMatchday 12
Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.553%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Polonia Warszawa1:1LegnicaD
- Legnica1:1Polonia WarszawaD
- Legnica2:3Polonia WarszawaW
- Polonia Warszawa0:1LegnicaL
- Legnica2:1Polonia WarszawaL
Polonia Warszawa's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 11.1under 11.5: 58%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 2.9
Polonia Warszawa : LegnicaMost likely scores
Model1-113%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-0—0-17%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-08%0-16%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-08%0-10-17%0-16%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Polonia Warszawa win | 41%47% · Elo 40% | 47%· Elo 40% |
| 2 – Legnica win | 33%28% · Elo 31% | 28%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 27%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Polonia Warszawa attack vs Legnica defenceattack1565defence1506+59 pts to the attack
Legnica attack vs Polonia Warszawa defenceattack1518defence1521−3 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 7.8 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.565%64%
7.551%48%
8.538%36%
9.526%28%
Each team on its own
Polonia Warszawawe expect 4.2, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Legnicawe expect 3.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 26.3 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.559%54%
25.553%51%
26.546%44%
27.540%36%
Each team on its own
Polonia Warszawawe expect 13.1, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 44%
Legnicawe expect 13.2, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.573%74%
2.548%49%
3.526%28%
4.512%16%
Each team on its own
Polonia Warszawawe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Legnicawe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Polonia Warszawa score a lot late on: 12 of 30 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Polonia Warszawa: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Legnica: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 8 | Legnica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Polonia Warszawa win 41%, draw 27%, Legnica win 33%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Polonia Warszawa 1.5, Legnica 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 23 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).