EkstraklasaMatchday 10
Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadion Radomiaka Radom, Radom
- Referee:
- Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Shots on Target – Motor Lublin: Over 3.5Won61%
Motor Lublin: 4.1 shots on target a match, Radomiak Radom's opponents had 5.2 on average, league average 4.0; over 3.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 9 league matches, Radomiak Radom's opponents had over 3.5 in 6 of 9 (52% of league matches)
Other tips
- Offsides – Radomiak Radom: Under 1.5Won65%
Radomiak Radom: 1.2 offsides a match, Motor Lublin's opponents were caught offside 1.0 times on average, league average 1.5
For the brave
Shots on Target – Motor Lublin: Over 4.5Won43%
Motor Lublin: 4.1 shots on target a match, Radomiak Radom's opponents had 5.2 on average, league average 4.0
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%60%O2.559%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Radomiak Radom1:1Motor LublinD
- Motor Lublin2:2Radomiak RadomD
- Radomiak Radom2:3Motor LublinL
- Motor Lublin1:0Radomiak RadomL
Radomiak Radom's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.8under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.0over 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 7
RefereeT. Kwiatkowski−0.1 yellow cards vs average27 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%U3.52:2coverageleague 76% · H2H 3/4not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Radomiak Radom : Motor LublinMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-18%1-28%1-06%2-0—0-1—2-26%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-08%2-07%0-16%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-27%1-01-06%1-08%2-02-0—2-07%0-10-1—0-16%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%54% | 54% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%58% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%40% | 40% |
| 1 – Radomiak Radom win | 37%46% · Elo 44% | 46%· Elo 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%35% | 35% |
| 2 – Motor Lublin win | 36%30% · Elo 28% | 30%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 27%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Radomiak Radom attack vs Motor Lublin defenceattack1475defence1441+34 pts to the attack
Motor Lublin attack vs Radomiak Radom defenceattack1466defence1426+40 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%61%
8.554%52%
9.541%39%
10.530%25%
Each team on its own
Radomiak Radomwe expect 4.8, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Motor Lublinwe expect 4.3, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 23.1 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.552%60%
23.545%53%
24.539%48%
25.533%42%
Each team on its own
Radomiak Radomwe expect 11.6, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Motor Lublinwe expect 12.7, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 50%
Referee: 20.8 fouls per match on average (25 matches in our data)−2.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.573%75%
2.548%50%
3.527%31%
4.513%16%
Each team on its own
Radomiak Radomwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Motor Lublinwe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Radomiak Radom concede 2.6 goals per game
- Motor Lublin matches average only 7.4 corners (league 9.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Motor Lublin: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Radomiak Radom: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Motor Lublin: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin (half time 1-0).
Did the Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Motor Lublin: Over 3.5. The tip won.