EkstraklasaMatchday 9
Motor Lublin 0-0 Gornik Z.: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Arena Lublin, Lublin (attendance: 10,427)
- Referee:
- Pawel Malec
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost66%
referee Pawel Malec averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 4.1
Other tips
- Both Teams To Score: YesLost57%
goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (59% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost48%
referee Pawel Malec averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 4.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%56%O2.553%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Motor Lublin0:0Gornik Z.D
- Gornik Z.0:1Motor LublinW
- Gornik Z.4:0Motor LublinL
- Motor Lublin1:0Gornik Z.W
- Motor Lublin0:3Gornik Z.L
Motor Lublin's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.8under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 5
RefereeP. Malec−0.8 cards vs average21 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Motor Lublin : Gornik Z.Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%0-19%1-0—2-17%0-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-29%0-19%1-08%2-18%0-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-17%2-18%0-20-27%0-2—0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 70%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Gornik Z. win | 43%40% · Elo 46% | 40%· Elo 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Motor Lublin win | 30%33% · Elo 27% | 33%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Motor Lublin attack vs Gornik Z. defenceattack1477defence1581−104 pts to the attack
Gornik Z. attack vs Motor Lublin defenceattack1524defence1430+94 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Motor Lublin concede 2.2 goals per game
- Gornik Z. score 2.3 goals per game
- Motor Lublin matches average only 7.8 corners (league 9.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Gornik Z.: 4 wins in a row
- Gornik Z.: 27 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Motor Lublin: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Motor Lublin: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Gornik Z.: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Z. | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Gornik Z.?
Motor Lublin 0-0 Gornik Z. (half time 0-0).
Did the Motor Lublin vs Gornik Z. tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.