EkstraklasaMatchday 11
Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%57%O2.559%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Wisla Plock0:1Radomiak RadomL
- Radomiak Radom1:1Wisla PlockD
- Wisla Plock1:1Radomiak RadomD
- Radomiak Radom2:0Wisla PlockL
- Radomiak Radom1:1Wisla PlockD
Wisla Plock's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.7over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.0over 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Wisla Plock : Radomiak RadomMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Wisla Plock win | 46%47% · Elo 40% | 47%· Elo 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%31% | 31% |
| 2 – Radomiak Radom win | 28%28% · Elo 32% | 28%· Elo 32% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Wisla Plock attack vs Radomiak Radom defenceattack1423defence1410+13 pts to the attack
Radomiak Radom attack vs Wisla Plock defenceattack1472defence1485−13 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%61%
8.551%52%
9.539%39%
10.528%24%
Each team on its own
Wisla Plockwe expect 5.1, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Radomiak Radomwe expect 3.9, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 24.2 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.559%60%
23.552%53%
24.546%48%
25.539%42%
Each team on its own
Wisla Plockwe expect 11.9, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 52%
Radomiak Radomwe expect 12.3, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%75%
2.557%50%
3.535%32%
4.518%17%
Each team on its own
Wisla Plockwe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Radomiak Radomwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Radomiak Radom concede 2.3 goals per game
- Wisla Plock: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Radomiak Radom: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?
Wisla Plock are the favourites. Chances: Wisla Plock win 46%, draw 26%, Radomiak Radom win 28%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Wisla Plock 1.7, Radomiak Radom 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?
The chance that both teams score is 61%.
When is Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 19 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).