Liga Portugal 2Matchday 8
Academica vs Leixoes: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%54%O2.546%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Academica1:0LeixoesW
- Leixoes2:1AcademicaL
- Leixoes1:2AcademicaW
- Academica1:1LeixoesD
- Leixoes1:1AcademicaD
Academica's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.6league 5.5under 5.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 5.6 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Academica : LeixoesMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%1-09%0-09%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-010%0-08%2-19%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-110%0-19%1-01-09%1-010%0-00-09%0-08%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Leixoes win | 37%33% · Elo 33% | 33%· Elo 33% |
| 1 – Academica win | 34%40% · Elo 39% | 40%· Elo 39% |
| X – draw | 29%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%26% | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Academica attack vs Leixoes defenceattack1505defence1494+11 pts to the attack
Leixoes attack vs Academica defenceattack1515defence1472+43 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.555%55%
8.542%40%
9.530%34%
10.520%18%
Each team on its own
Academicawe expect 4.6, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Leixoeswe expect 3.4, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 26.7 in this match, 26.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.555%52%
26.549%45%
27.543%44%
28.537%36%
Each team on its own
Academicawe expect 13.1, league average 13.3 · chance of over 13.5: 44%
Leixoeswe expect 13.6, league average 12.9 · chance of over 12.5: 58%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 69%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 31%over
We expect 3.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.587%69%
2.569%42%
3.548%26%
4.529%14%
Each team on its own
Academicawe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Leixoeswe expect 2.4, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 68%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Academica: newly promoted
- Academica: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Leixoes: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Academica vs Leixoes?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Academica win 34%, draw 29%, Leixoes win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Academica vs Leixoes?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Academica 1.2, Leixoes 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 46%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Academica vs Leixoes?
The chance that both teams score is 52%.
When is Academica vs Leixoes?
The Liga Portugal 2 match kicks off 24 October 2026, 11:00 (UK time).