Liga Portugal 2Matchday 8

Sporting CP B vs Portimonense: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 10d 5h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloSporting CP B138446%45%Draw29%27%Portimonense134726%28%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%49%O2.543%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sporting CP B4:3PortimonenseW
  2. Portimonense1:2Sporting CP BW
  3. Portimonense4:0Sporting CP BL
  4. Sporting CP B1:2PortimonenseL
  5. Portimonense2:0Sporting CP BL
Sporting CP B's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.5under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.2league 5.5under 5.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.5
Sporting CP B : Portimonense
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-010%2-09%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-09%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-010%0-09%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%74%74%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals70%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals57%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%54%54%
Both teams to score: no51%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes49%49%49%
1 – Sporting CP B win46%46% · Elo 45%46%· Elo 45%
Over 2.5 goals43%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals30%30%30%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
2 – Portimonense win26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals22%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Sporting CP B attack vs Portimonense defenceattack1499defence1469+30 pts to the attack
Portimonense attack vs Sporting CP B defenceattack1480defence1537−57 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.552%55%
8.538%40%
9.527%34%
10.518%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sporting CP Bwe expect 4.8, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
Portimonensewe expect 2.9, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 26.4 in this match, 26.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
25.554%52%
26.547%45%
27.541%44%
28.535%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sporting CP Bwe expect 13.5, league average 13.3 · chance of over 13.5: 47%
Portimonensewe expect 13.0, league average 12.9 · chance of over 12.5: 52%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.574%69%
2.549%42%
3.527%26%
4.513%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sporting CP Bwe expect 1.0, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 28%
Portimonensewe expect 1.6, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 45%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Streaks before the match

  • Rafael Ferreira NelSporting CP B3 matches with a goal or assist2 goals, 1 assistWent on 33%Season 75%
All player streaks

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Portimonense matches average only 4.2 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Portimonense: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sporting CP B matches average only 7.4 corners (league 9.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Sporting CP B: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Portimonense: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Sporting CP B750210:615
11Portimonense73136:710
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sporting CP B vs Portimonense?

Sporting CP B are the favourites. Chances: Sporting CP B win 46%, draw 29%, Portimonense win 26%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Portimonense?

Expected goals: 2.4 (Sporting CP B 1.4, Portimonense 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Sporting CP B vs Portimonense?

The chance that both teams score is 49%.

When is Sporting CP B vs Portimonense?

The Liga Portugal 2 match kicks off 24 October 2026, 11:00 (UK time).