Liga Portugal 2Matchday 8
Torreense vs Amarante: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 12d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%51%O2.542%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.5under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.1league 5.5under 5.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.8total 2.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Torreense : AmaranteMost likely scores
Market1-014%1-113%2-011%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-113%2-09%0-08%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-012%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-011%2-09%0-00-010%0-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%50% | 50% |
| 1 – Torreense win | 54%47% · Elo 54% | 47%· Elo 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 46%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%47% | 47% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 25% | 27%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Amarante win | 19%26% · Elo 21% | 26%· Elo 21% |
Attack vs defence
Torreense attack vs Amarante defenceattack1529defence1478+51 pts to the attack
Amarante attack vs Torreense defenceattack1468defence1517−49 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.553%55%
8.539%40%
9.528%34%
10.518%18%
Each team on its own
Torreensewe expect 4.1, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Amarantewe expect 3.6, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 24.1 in this match, 26.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.539%52%
26.533%45%
27.527%44%
28.522%36%
Each team on its own
Torreensewe expect 11.6, league average 13.3 · chance of over 13.5: 29%
Amarantewe expect 12.2, league average 12.9 · chance of over 12.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 2.2 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.564%69%
2.537%42%
3.518%26%
4.57%14%
Each team on its own
Torreensewe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Amarantewe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Amarante: newly promoted
- Torreense: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Amarante: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Torreense vs Amarante?
Torreense are the favourites. Chances: Torreense win 54%, draw 27%, Amarante win 19%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Torreense vs Amarante?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Torreense 1.6, Amarante 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 42%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Torreense vs Amarante?
The chance that both teams score is 45%.
When is Torreense vs Amarante?
The Liga Portugal 2 match kicks off 26 October 2026, 20:45 (UK time).