Liga PortugalMatchday 8

Academico Viseu 2-1 Estoril: prediction, tips and result

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Academico Viseu
2-20-31-02-12-0
2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Estoril
1-20-10-01-20-2
Stadium:
Estadio do Fontelo, Viseu
Referee:
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Academico Viseu (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost57%

Estoril's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 7 of 7 (54% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Estoril: Over 3.5Won62%

    Estoril: 4.4 shots on target a match, Academico Viseu's opponents had 5.3 on average, league average 3.8; our numbers for Estoril: 4.4 shots on target against a league average of 3.8

For the brave
Cards – Academico Viseu (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Lost32%

Estoril's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 4 of 7 (30% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAcademico Viseu151640%31%Draw28%29%Estoril159732%40%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%55%O2.549%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Estoril3:0Academico ViseuL
  2. Academico Viseu0:2EstorilL
  3. Estoril3:1Academico ViseuL
  4. Estoril1:3Academico ViseuW
  5. Academico Viseu1:2EstorilL
Academico Viseu's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.3under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 36%.won · ended 4
RefereeC. Filipe Ruivo Pereira0.0 yellow cards vs average29 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%X22:1coverageleague 65% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Academico Viseu : Estoril
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-18%0-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%2-19%0-19%0-07%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-18%0-19%0-00-08%0-07%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals73%72%72%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes54%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals51%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals49%50%50%
Both teams to score: no46%45%45%
1 – Academico Viseu win40%39% · Elo 31%39%· Elo 31%
2 – Estoril win32%35% · Elo 40%35%· Elo 40%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals27%28%28%
Under 1.5 goals25%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Academico Viseu attack vs Estoril defenceattack1428defence1435−7 pts to the attack
Estoril attack vs Academico Viseu defenceattack1490defence1418+72 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.560%60%
8.547%47%
9.535%32%
10.524%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Academico Viseuwe expect 4.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Estorilwe expect 4.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 25.7 in this match, 25.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
24.555%56%
25.549%50%
26.543%42%
27.537%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Academico Viseuwe expect 12.6, league average 12.8 · chance of over 12.5: 48%
Estorilwe expect 12.3, league average 12.7 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Referee: 27.5 fouls per match on average (19 matches in our data)+1.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.572%78%
2.547%52%
3.526%31%
4.512%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Academico Viseuwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Estorilwe expect 1.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 29%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Estoril score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Estoril: no win in 15 matches
  • Estoril: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Academico Viseu: newly promoted
  • Academico Viseu: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Estoril: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Academico Viseu

Estoril

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Academico Viseu842211:1014
18Estoril80264:122
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Academico Viseu vs Estoril?

Academico Viseu 2-1 Estoril (half time 1-0).

Did the Academico Viseu vs Estoril tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Academico Viseu (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip lost.

See also