Liga PortugalMatchday 6

Academico Viseu 2-1 Guimaraes: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio do Fontelo, Viseu
Referee:
Carlos Andre Fernandes Macedo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost60%

referee Carlos Andre Fernandes Macedo averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 5.1; our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 5.1

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 9.5Lost57%

    under 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (55% of league matches)

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost56%

    under 2.5 goals in 2 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (46% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAcademico Viseu151625%23%Draw28%27%Guimaraes165647%50%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.544%45%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.3both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.1league 5.1under 5.5: 76%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 8
RefereeC. Andre Fernandes Macedo−2.0 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.4total 2.4Attack/defence1.1 : 1.3total 2.5
Academico Viseu : Guimaraes
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-112%0-010%1-0—1-29%0-29%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%0-09%1-09%1-29%0-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-112%0-111%0-00-010%0-09%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-29%1-29%0-20-29%0-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat75%68%68%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals71%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals56%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat53%59%59%
Both teams to score: no51%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes49%51%51%
2 – Guimaraes win47%41% · Elo 50%41%· Elo 50%
Over 2.5 goals44%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals29%29%29%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
1 – Academico Viseu win25%32% · Elo 23%32%· Elo 23%
Over 3.5 goals23%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Academico Viseu attack vs Guimaraes defenceattack1420defence1528−108 pts to the attack
Guimaraes attack vs Academico Viseu defenceattack1499defence1410+89 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Guimaraes: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Guimaraes score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Academico Viseu: newly promoted
  • Academico Viseu: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Guimaraes: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Academico Viseu842211:1014
15Guimaraes81255:105
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes?

Academico Viseu 2-1 Guimaraes (half time 0-0).

Did the Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.