Liga PortugalMatchday 5

Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes
Referee:
Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoWon56%

Casa Pia: no goal in their last 4 league matches; at least one side without a goal in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGuimaraes165666%56%Draw21%25%Casa Pia154913%19%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%46%O2.549%44%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Guimaraes0:1Casa PiaL
  2. Casa Pia0:0GuimaraesD
  3. Guimaraes1:0Casa PiaW
  4. Casa Pia1:1GuimaraesD
  5. Guimaraes0:2Casa PiaL
Guimaraes's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.3under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 21
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.1under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.won · ended 4
RefereeG. Fernandes Correia+0.3 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.7total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Guimaraes : Casa Pia
Most likely scores
Market1-013%2-013%1-111%2-19%0-0—3-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%2-011%1-112%2-19%0-09%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-014%2-02-013%2-011%1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-0—0-09%3-03-08%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%80%80%
12 – no draw79%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals74%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals73%77%77%
1 – Guimaraes win66%55% · Elo 56%55%· Elo 56%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no56%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals51%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals49%44%44%
Both teams to score: yes44%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat34%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals27%23%23%
Under 1.5 goals26%30%30%
X – draw21%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
2 – Casa Pia win13%20% · Elo 19%20%· Elo 19%
Attack vs defence
Guimaraes attack vs Casa Pia defenceattack1504defence1430+74 pts to the attack
Casa Pia attack vs Guimaraes defenceattack1368defence1523−155 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Guimaraes: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Casa Pia: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Casa Pia score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Casa Pia: 4 defeats in a row
  • Guimaraes: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Casa Pia: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Guimaraes81255:105
17Casa Pia81163:174
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?

Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia (half time 0-0).

Did the Guimaraes vs Casa Pia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip won.