Liga PortugalMatchday 7

Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Referee:
Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

The match in numbers

1X2EloEstoril159755%49%Draw24%27%Casa Pia154920%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%51%O2.556%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Estoril0:0Casa PiaD
  2. Casa Pia2:2EstorilD
  3. Casa Pia1:3EstorilW
  4. Estoril0:2Casa PiaL
  5. Casa Pia0:0EstorilD
Estoril's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.0over 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 5
RefereeP. Miguel Torres Ramalho0.0 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.1total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Estoril : Casa Pia
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-09%1-012%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%0-00-06%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals79%73%73%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals67%74%74%
Over 2.5 goals56%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes56%51%51%
1 – Estoril win55%51% · Elo 49%51%· Elo 49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat44%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals44%52%52%
Both teams to score: no44%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals33%26%26%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals21%27%27%
2 – Casa Pia win20%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Attack vs defence
Estoril attack vs Casa Pia defenceattack1493defence1417+76 pts to the attack
Casa Pia attack vs Estoril defenceattack1370defence1445−75 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Casa Pia matches average only 3.8 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Estoril: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Casa Pia: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Estoril score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Casa Pia score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Estoril: no win in 14 matches
  • Estoril: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Casa Pia: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
17Casa Pia81163:174
18Estoril80264:122
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estoril vs Casa Pia?

Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia (half time 0-0).