Liga PortugalMatchday 6

Casa Pia 1-4 Porto: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Referee:
Jose Bessa

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoLost62%

Casa Pia: no goal in their last 5 league matches; at least one side without a goal in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:2Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCasa Pia15496%10%Draw12%17%Porto197981%74%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%44%O2.560%43%|exp. goals 0.8 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Casa Pia2:1PortoW
  2. Porto4:0Casa PiaL
  3. Casa Pia0:1PortoL
  4. Porto2:0Casa PiaL
  5. Casa Pia1:2PortoL
Casa Pia's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards5.6league 5.1under 5.5: 53%Expected cards: 5.6 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.won · ended 5
RefereeJ. Bessa+1.7 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.5 : 2.6total 3.1Attack/defence0.8 : 1.6total 2.4
Casa Pia : Porto
Most likely scores
Market0-215%0-111%0-313%1-1—1-28%0-0—0-48%1-0—Attack/defence0-212%0-114%0-3—1-112%1-29%0-09%0-4—1-07%
MarketAttack/defence0-20-215%0-212%0-10-111%0-114%0-30-313%0-3—1-11-1—1-112%1-21-28%1-29%0-00-0—0-09%0-40-48%0-4—1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat93%82%82%
12 – no draw87%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals82%70%70%
2 – Porto win81%57% · Elo 74%57%· Elo 74%
Under 3.5 goals63%77%77%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no62%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals60%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals40%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes38%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals37%23%23%
1X – home team avoid defeat18%43%43%
Under 1.5 goals18%30%30%
X – draw12%25% · Elo 17%25%· Elo 17%
1 – Casa Pia win6%18% · Elo 10%18%· Elo 10%
Attack vs defence
Casa Pia attack vs Porto defenceattack1365defence1674−309 pts to the attack
Porto attack vs Casa Pia defenceattack1638defence1433+205 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Porto matches average only 3.3 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Casa Pia: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Casa Pia score only 0.4 goals per game
  • Porto concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Porto: 6 wins in a row
  • Casa Pia: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Porto: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Porto880020:424
17Casa Pia81163:174
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Casa Pia vs Porto?

Casa Pia 1-4 Porto (half time 1-1).

Did the Casa Pia vs Porto tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip lost.