Liga PortugalMatchday 6
Sp Braga 1-0 Estoril: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Braga Municipal, Braga
- Referee:
- David Rafael Oliveira da Silva
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%54%O2.557%54%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sp Braga1:1EstorilD
- Estoril1:0Sp BragaL
- Estoril0:2Sp BragaW
- Sp Braga2:2EstorilD
- Estoril0:1Sp BragaW
Sp Braga's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 4
RefereeD. Rafael Oliveira da Silva+0.7 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 0.8total 3.0Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Sp Braga : EstorilMost likely scores
Market2-012%1-011%1-19%2-110%3-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-010%1-111%2-110%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-010%1-01-011%1-010%1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-09%3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 89%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%78% | 78% |
| 1 – Sp Braga win | 70%57% · Elo 72% | 57%· Elo 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%68% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%32% | 32% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 30%43% | 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%22% | 22% |
| X – draw | 19%23% · Elo 18% | 23%· Elo 18% |
| 2 – Estoril win | 11%20% · Elo 10% | 20%· Elo 10% |
Attack vs defence
Sp Braga attack vs Estoril defenceattack1593defence1442+151 pts to the attack
Estoril attack vs Sp Braga defenceattack1497defence1569−72 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Estoril matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Estoril: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Estoril score only 0.5 goals per game
- Estoril: no win in 13 matches
- Estoril: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sp Braga: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Estoril: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sp Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sp Braga vs Estoril?
Sp Braga 1-0 Estoril (half time 0-0).