Liga PortugalMatchday 5
Alverca 1-2 Sp Braga: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
- Referee:
- Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost66%
referee Luis Miguel Branco Godinho averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 5.1
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost49%
referee Luis Miguel Branco Godinho averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 5.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%51%O2.543%47%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Sp Braga5:0AlvercaL
- Alverca0:3Sp BragaL
- Sp Braga0:0AlvercaD
- Alverca1:2Sp BragaL
Alverca's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 4
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 66%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 6
RefereeL. Miguel Branco Godinho−0.6 cards vs average32 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.6total 2.4Attack/defence1.1 : 1.5total 2.6
Alverca : Sp BragaMost likely scores
Market0-113%1-113%0-211%0-010%1-29%1-0—Attack/defence0-111%1-113%0-29%0-08%1-29%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-113%0-111%1-11-113%1-113%0-20-211%0-29%0-00-010%0-08%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 81%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%53% | 53% |
| 2 – Sp Braga win | 55%47% · Elo 67% | 47%· Elo 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%49% | 49% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 45%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%47% | 47% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 20% | 27%· Elo 20% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%25% | 25% |
| 1 – Alverca win | 19%27% · Elo 13% | 27%· Elo 13% |
Attack vs defence
Alverca attack vs Sp Braga defenceattack1423defence1571−148 pts to the attack
Sp Braga attack vs Alverca defenceattack1598defence1445+153 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Alverca matches average only 3.9 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Alverca: no win in 7 matches
- Alverca: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sp Braga: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Sp Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Alverca vs Sp Braga?
Alverca 1-2 Sp Braga (half time 1-0).
Did the Alverca vs Sp Braga tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.