Liga PortugalMatchday 3
Estrela 2-1 Sp Braga: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo (attendance: 1,681)
- Referee:
- Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won65%
referee Iancu Ioan Vasilica averages 4.6 cards a match, league average 5.1
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won49%
referee Iancu Ioan Vasilica averages 4.6 cards a match, league average 5.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%53%O2.548%50%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sp Braga2:2EstrelaD
- Estrela3:3Sp BragaD
- Estrela0:1Sp BragaL
- Sp Braga1:1EstrelaD
- Sp Braga3:0EstrelaL
Estrela's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.4under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeI. Ioan Vasilica−1.0 cards vs average19 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.8total 2.6Attack/defence1.1 : 1.6total 2.7
Estrela : Sp BragaMost likely scores
Market0-113%1-111%0-212%1-210%0-08%1-0—Attack/defence0-111%1-112%0-29%1-29%0-07%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-113%0-111%1-11-111%1-112%0-20-212%0-29%1-21-210%1-29%0-00-08%0-07%1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 84%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%72% | 72% |
| 2 – Sp Braga win | 61%48% · Elo 68% | 48%· Elo 68% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%53% | 53% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 38%52% | 52% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%25% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 20% | 26%· Elo 20% |
| 1 – Estrela win | 15%26% · Elo 12% | 26%· Elo 12% |
Attack vs defence
Estrela attack vs Sp Braga defenceattack1449defence1570−121 pts to the attack
Sp Braga attack vs Estrela defenceattack1602defence1417+185 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sp Braga matches average only 7.3 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Estrela: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sp Braga: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sp Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Estrela vs Sp Braga?
Estrela 2-1 Sp Braga (half time 1-1).
Did the Estrela vs Sp Braga tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.