SuperligaMatchday 13
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs U Craiova: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 12d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%50%O2.549%48%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- U Craiova2:1Sepsi Sf. GheorgheL
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe1:2U CraiovaL
- U Craiova3:2Sepsi Sf. GheorgheL
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe1:3U CraiovaL
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe1:3U CraiovaL
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.7under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.7total 2.6Attack/defence1.0 : 1.6total 2.6
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe : U CraiovaMost likely scores
Market1-112%0-111%0-210%1-210%0-08%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-112%0-210%1-210%0-08%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-111%0-112%0-20-210%0-210%1-21-210%1-210%0-00-08%0-08%1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 81%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%74% | 74% |
| 2 – U Craiova win | 55%53% · Elo 57% | 53%· Elo 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%48% | 48% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 45%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%27% | 27% |
| 1 – Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe win | 19%22% · Elo 19% | 22%· Elo 19% |
Attack vs defence
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe attack vs U Craiova defenceattack1393defence1642−249 pts to the attack
U Craiova attack vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe defenceattack1631defence1437+194 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.569%65%
8.557%54%
9.544%44%
10.533%30%
Each team on its own
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 4.1, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
U Craiovawe expect 5.2, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 73%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 20.2 in this match, 22.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.539%54%
22.532%48%
23.526%40%
24.521%33%
Each team on its own
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 9.5, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
U Craiovawe expect 10.5, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%74%
2.550%48%
3.528%25%
4.514%12%
Each team on its own
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 1.9, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
U Craiovawe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 22%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe score only 0.7 goals per game
- U Craiova: 4 wins in a row
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: newly promoted
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- U Craiova: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | U Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25:9 | 23 |
| 11 | Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs U Craiova?
U Craiova are the favourites. Chances: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe win 19%, draw 26%, U Craiova win 55%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs U Craiova?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 0.9, U Craiova 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs U Craiova?
The chance that both teams score is 50%.
When is Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs U Craiova?
The Superliga match kicks off 26 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).