LaLigaMatchday 7

Ath Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
Referee:
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (52% of league matches); our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost40%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (28% of league matches); our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAth Madrid201527%31%Draw24%29%Real Madrid211148%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%62%O2.563%59%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Real Madrid3:2Ath MadridL
  2. Ath Madrid5:2Real MadridW
  3. Ath Madrid1:0Real MadridW
  4. Real Madrid2:1Ath MadridL
  5. Real Madrid1:1Ath MadridD
Ath Madrid's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.7over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 4
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.7under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 6
RefereeM. Angel Ortiz Arias−0.4 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.9total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Ath Madrid : Real Madrid
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%0-27%0-17%1-0—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%0-2—0-17%1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%0-20-27%0-2—0-10-17%0-17%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%81%81%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes64%62%62%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals63%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals60%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%64%64%
2 – Real Madrid win48%37% · Elo 40%37%· Elo 40%
Over 3.5 goals40%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals37%41%41%
Both teams to score: no36%38%38%
1 – Ath Madrid win27%39% · Elo 31%39%· Elo 31%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 29%25%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals16%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Ath Madrid attack vs Real Madrid defenceattack1595defence1599−4 pts to the attack
Real Madrid attack vs Ath Madrid defenceattack1696defence1563+133 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Real Madrid score 2.4 goals per game
  • Ath Madrid: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Real Madrid: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Ath Madrid861118:819
4Real Madrid860219:818
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ath Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Ath Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid (half time 0-0).

Did the Ath Madrid vs Real Madrid tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.