LaLigaMatchday 9
Betis vs Barcelona: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%66%O2.576%66%|exp. goals 1.4 : 2.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Barcelona3:1BetisL
- Betis3:5BarcelonaL
- Barcelona1:1BetisD
- Betis2:2BarcelonaD
- Betis2:4BarcelonaL
Betis's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses4.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.7over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.8total 4.0Attack/defence1.4 : 2.0total 3.4
Betis : BarcelonaMost likely scores
Market1-17%1-29%1-38%0-27%2-1—2-2—0-1—0-36%Attack/defence1-110%1-29%1-3—0-27%2-17%2-27%0-16%0-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-110%1-21-29%1-29%1-31-38%1-3—0-20-27%0-27%2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-27%0-10-1—0-16%0-30-36%0-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%85% | 85% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 86%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 84%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76%66% | 66% |
| 2 – Barcelona win | 69%51% · Elo 53% | 51%· Elo 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67%66% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57%44% | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 43%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 33%35% | 35% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 32%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 17%22% · Elo 26% | 22%· Elo 26% |
| 1 – Betis win | 15%27% · Elo 21% | 27%· Elo 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Betis attack vs Barcelona defenceattack1552defence1615−63 pts to the attack
Barcelona attack vs Betis defenceattack1800defence1520+280 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 68%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 32%over
We expect 10.3 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.579%67%
8.568%53%
9.557%40%
10.545%31%
Each team on its own
Betiswe expect 5.2, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 41%
Barcelonawe expect 5.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 79%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 20.1 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.531%55%
23.525%48%
24.520%43%
25.515%36%
Each team on its own
Betiswe expect 9.7, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 28%
Barcelonawe expect 10.0, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 31%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over
We expect 4.6 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.583%69%
3.567%48%
4.548%34%
5.532%24%
Each team on its own
Betiswe expect 2.2, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 37%
Barcelonawe expect 2.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 68%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- Barcelona8 wins in a rowaway: 4Went on 60%League 28%Model 69%Record 16
- Betis7 wins in a row at homeoverall: 1Went on 61%League 45%Model 15%Record 16
- Betis15 matches unbeaten at homeoverall: 5Went on 82%League 72%Model 32%Record 43
Players
- Lamine YamalBarcelona6 matches with a goal or assist7 goals, 5 assistsWent on 42%Season 75%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Barcelona score 3.8 goals per game
- Barcelona matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Barcelona: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Barcelona: 8 wins in a row
- Betis: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Betis: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Barcelona: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Betis vs Barcelona?
Barcelona are the favourites. Chances: Betis win 15%, draw 17%, Barcelona win 69%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Betis vs Barcelona?
Expected goals: 4.0 (Betis 1.2, Barcelona 2.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 76%. Most likely score: 1-2.
Will both teams score in Betis vs Barcelona?
The chance that both teams score is 67%.
When is Betis vs Barcelona?
The LaLiga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).