LaLigaMatchday 10
Santander vs Espanol: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%57%O2.556%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Espanol3:1SantanderL
- Santander0:1EspanolL
- Espanol1:2SantanderW
- Santander0:0EspanolD
- Santander3:1EspanolW
Santander's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.7under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.4under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.4total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Santander : EspanolMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-17%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-17%0-18%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 66%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Santander win | 40%40% · Elo 44% | 40%· Elo 44% |
| 2 – Espanol win | 34%34% · Elo 27% | 34%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Santander attack vs Espanol defenceattack1444defence1485−41 pts to the attack
Espanol attack vs Santander defenceattack1460defence1401+59 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 9.7 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.574%67%
8.562%53%
9.550%40%
10.538%31%
Each team on its own
Santanderwe expect 5.6, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 47%
Espanolwe expect 4.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 65%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 24.8 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.563%55%
23.556%48%
24.550%43%
25.543%36%
Each team on its own
Santanderwe expect 11.2, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Espanolwe expect 13.8, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 69%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%69%
3.557%48%
4.538%34%
5.522%24%
Each team on its own
Santanderwe expect 1.6, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 23%
Espanolwe expect 2.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Espanol matches average only 7.3 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Santander: newly promoted
- Santander: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Espanol: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Espanol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:23 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Santander vs Espanol?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Santander win 40%, draw 26%, Espanol win 34%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Santander vs Espanol?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Santander 1.5, Espanol 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Santander vs Espanol?
The chance that both teams score is 59%.
When is Santander vs Espanol?
The LaLiga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:15 (UK time).