LaLigaMatchday 10
Vallecano vs Elche: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.552%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vallecano1:0ElcheW
- Elche4:0VallecanoL
- Elche4:0VallecanoL
- Vallecano2:1ElcheW
- Elche2:1VallecanoL
Vallecano's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.7under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.7
Vallecano : ElcheMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-07%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%71% | 71% |
| 1 – Vallecano win | 54%51% · Elo 52% | 51%· Elo 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 46%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Elche win | 21%24% · Elo 22% | 24%· Elo 22% |
Attack vs defence
Vallecano attack vs Elche defenceattack1465defence1444+21 pts to the attack
Elche attack vs Vallecano defenceattack1440defence1498−58 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%67%
8.553%53%
9.541%40%
10.529%31%
Each team on its own
Vallecanowe expect 5.0, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 39%
Elchewe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 25.6 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.568%55%
23.562%48%
24.555%43%
25.549%36%
Each team on its own
Vallecanowe expect 13.0, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 63%
Elchewe expect 12.8, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 61%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%69%
3.546%48%
4.527%34%
5.514%24%
Each team on its own
Vallecanowe expect 2.0, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 33%
Elchewe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Elche matches average only 7.5 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Vallecano: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Elche: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:17 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vallecano vs Elche?
Vallecano are the favourites. Chances: Vallecano win 54%, draw 25%, Elche win 21%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Vallecano vs Elche?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Vallecano 1.7, Elche 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Vallecano vs Elche?
The chance that both teams score is 53%.
When is Vallecano vs Elche?
The LaLiga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).