AllsvenskanMatchday 24
Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%56%O2.562%55%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Djurgarden1:2BrommapojkarnaW
- Djurgarden1:0BrommapojkarnaL
- Brommapojkarna0:1DjurgardenL
- Djurgarden2:1BrommapojkarnaL
- Brommapojkarna0:5DjurgardenL
Brommapojkarna's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.1 : 1.8total 2.9
Brommapojkarna : DjurgardenMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-210%0-18%1-37%2-1—1-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-29%0-19%1-3—2-16%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-210%1-210%0-20-210%0-29%0-10-18%0-19%1-31-37%1-3—2-12-1—2-16%1-01-0—1-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 85%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%76% | 76% |
| 2 – Djurgarden win | 65%51% · Elo 56% | 51%· Elo 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%55% | 55% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%33% | 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%45% | 45% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 36%49% | 49% |
| X – draw | 20%24% · Elo 23% | 24%· Elo 23% |
| 1 – Brommapojkarna win | 16%24% · Elo 21% | 24%· Elo 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Brommapojkarna attack vs Djurgarden defenceattack1500defence1626−126 pts to the attack
Djurgarden attack vs Brommapojkarna defenceattack1613defence1393+220 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%64%
8.553%53%
9.540%40%
10.529%29%
Each team on its own
Brommapojkarnawe expect 3.9, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Djurgardenwe expect 5.0, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 23.2 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.566%61%
21.560%54%
22.553%47%
23.546%38%
Each team on its own
Brommapojkarnawe expect 11.8, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Djurgardenwe expect 11.7, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%66%
2.549%44%
3.528%25%
4.513%13%
Each team on its own
Brommapojkarnawe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Djurgardenwe expect 1.5, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Djurgarden7 matches in a row without BTTS awayoverall: 1Went on 50%League 48%Model 43%Record 13
- Djurgarden4 clean sheets in a row awayoverall: 1Went on 36%League 22%Model 37%Record 8
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brommapojkarna concede 2.0 goals per game
- Djurgarden matches average only 7.2 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Djurgarden concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Brommapojkarna: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Djurgarden: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Djurgarden | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 48:21 | 44 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36:41 | 30 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?
Djurgarden are the favourites. Chances: Brommapojkarna win 16%, draw 20%, Djurgarden win 65%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Brommapojkarna 1.0, Djurgarden 2.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-2.
Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?
The Allsvenskan match kicks off 16 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).