AllsvenskanMatchday 23

Hammarby 0-1 Djurgarden: prediction, tips and result

·

Hammarby
2-02-31-13-11-0
0-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Djurgarden
1-22-01-02-04-0
Stadium:
3Arena, Stockholm
Referee:
Granit Maqedonci

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won63%

9.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.7 in the visitors', league average 10.2; under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost70%

    referee Granit Maqedonci averages 2.7 yellow cards a match, league average 3.3; our numbers: 2.8 yellow cards against a league average of 3.3

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost61%

    Hammarby: scored in each of their last 13 league matches

  • Shots on Target – Djurgarden: Under 3.5Won59%

    our numbers for Djurgarden: 3.3 shots on target against a league average of 4.3; Hammarby's opponents had 1.6 shots on target on average, league average 4.3

  • Fouls – Hammarby: Over 10.5Won66%

    our numbers for Hammarby: 12.3 fouls against a league average of 10.9; Hammarby: over 10.5 fouls in 6 of their last 10 league matches, Djurgarden's opponents committed over 10.5 in 8 of 10 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Won39%

9.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.7 in the visitors', league average 10.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHammarby164854%41%Draw23%26%Djurgarden167023%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%54%O2.561%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Djurgarden1:1HammarbyD
  2. Djurgarden3:3HammarbyD
  3. Hammarby2:0DjurgardenW
  4. Hammarby2:0DjurgardenW
  5. Djurgarden0:3HammarbyW
Hammarby's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 10.2under 10.5: 63%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.8league 3.3under 3.5: 70%Expected yellow cards: 2.8 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 6
RefereeG. Maqedonci−1.0 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.51:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.8
Hammarby : Djurgarden
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-08%0-1—0-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-17%0-07%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%0-10-1—0-17%0-00-0—0-07%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%75%75%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals62%70%70%
Over 2.5 goals61%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes61%54%54%
1 – Hammarby win54%49% · Elo 41%49%· Elo 41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat46%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals39%48%48%
Both teams to score: no39%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals38%30%30%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
2 – Djurgarden win23%26% · Elo 33%26%· Elo 33%
Under 1.5 goals17%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Hammarby attack vs Djurgarden defenceattack1681defence1614+67 pts to the attack
Djurgarden attack vs Hammarby defenceattack1615defence1648−33 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.561%64%
8.548%53%
9.536%41%
10.525%29%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hammarbywe expect 5.1, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Djurgardenwe expect 3.3, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 24%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 58%close to the league averageunder 42%over
We expect 22.9 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.565%61%
21.558%54%
22.551%47%
23.544%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hammarbywe expect 12.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 66%
Djurgardenwe expect 11.1, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Referee: 20.9 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)−0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.573%66%
2.548%43%
3.527%25%
4.513%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hammarbywe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 25%
Djurgardenwe expect 1.7, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hammarby score 2.3 goals per game
  • Hammarby concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Djurgarden concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Djurgarden matches average only 7.7 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Hammarby: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Djurgarden: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Hammarby

Djurgarden

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Djurgarden23142748:2144
3Hammarby23134649:2143
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Hammarby vs Djurgarden?

Hammarby 0-1 Djurgarden (half time 0-1).

Did the Hammarby vs Djurgarden tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.

See also