Super LeagueMatchday 11
Basel vs Grasshoppers: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%62%O2.571%63%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Basel1:0GrasshoppersW
- Grasshoppers1:1BaselD
- Basel2:1GrasshoppersW
- Basel2:1GrasshoppersW
- Basel0:1GrasshoppersL
Basel's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.5under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.3total 3.7Attack/defence2.0 : 1.2total 3.2
Basel : GrasshoppersMost likely scores
Market1-18%2-19%2-07%1-0—3-17%2-26%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-08%1-08%3-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-08%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-17%3-17%2-22-26%2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%83% | 83% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67%62% | 62% |
| 1 – Basel win | 60%55% · Elo 56% | 55%· Elo 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%41% | 41% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 33%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 20%22% · Elo 24% | 22%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – Grasshoppers win | 20%23% · Elo 20% | 23%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Basel attack vs Grasshoppers defenceattack1498defence1444+54 pts to the attack
Grasshoppers attack vs Basel defenceattack1398defence1492−94 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 9.2 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.556%64%
9.543%48%
10.532%39%
11.522%26%
Each team on its own
Baselwe expect 4.9, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 37%
Grasshopperswe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 22.3 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.546%51%
23.539%45%
24.533%41%
25.527%37%
Each team on its own
Baselwe expect 10.1, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 32%
Grasshopperswe expect 12.1, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.575%80%
2.550%54%
3.528%33%
4.514%15%
Each team on its own
Baselwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Grasshopperswe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Basel8 matches in a row over 2.5 goalsat home: 4Went on 58%League 77%Model 71%Record 25
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Grasshoppers concede 2.6 goals per game
- Basel concede 2.0 goals per game
- Basel: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Basel played 0 days ago
- Grasshoppers played 0 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Basel | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:20 | 13 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:26 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Basel vs Grasshoppers?
Basel are the favourites. Chances: Basel win 60%, draw 20%, Grasshoppers win 20%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Basel vs Grasshoppers?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Basel 2.4, Grasshoppers 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 71%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Basel vs Grasshoppers?
The chance that both teams score is 67%.
When is Basel vs Grasshoppers?
The Super League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 15:30 (UK time).